2022年12月17日土曜日
December 22, 20221:28 AM HSTLast Updated an hour ago
China COVID deaths probably running above 5,000 per day - UK research firm Airfinity
https://www.reuters.com/world/china/china-covid-deaths-probably-running-above-5000-per-day-uk-research-firm-2022-12-22/
BF.7: What to know about the Omicron COVID variant
Since the COVID variant Omicron emerged in late 2021, it has rapidly evolved into multiple subvariants. One subvariant, BF.7, has recently been identified as the main variant spreading in Beijing, and is contributing to a wider surge of COVID infections in China.
But what is this new variant, and should we be worried? Although reports from China about this variant's characteristics are concerning, it doesn't appear to be growing too much elsewhere in the world. Here's what we know.
BF.7, short for BA.5.2.1.7, is a sub-lineage of the Omicron variant BA.5.
Reports from China indicate BF.7 has the strongest infection ability out of the Omicron subvariants in the country, being quicker to transmit than other variants, having a shorter incubation period, and with greater capacity to infect people who have had a previous COVID infection, or been vaccinated, or both.
To put this into context, BF.7 is believed to have an R0, or basic reproduction number, of 10 to 18.6. This means an infected person will transmit the virus to an average of 10 to 18.6 other people. Research has shown Omicron has an average R0 of 5.08.
The high transmission rate of BF.7, taken with the risk of hidden spread due to the many asymptomatic carriers, is understood to be causing significant difficulty in controlling the epidemic in China.
The symptoms of an infection with BF.7 are similar to those associated with other Omicron subvariants, primarily upper respiratory symptoms. Patients may have a fever, cough, sore throat, runny nose and fatigue, among other symptoms. A minority of people can also experience gastrointestinal symptoms like vomiting and diarrhoea.
BF.7 may well cause more serious illness in people with weaker immune systems.
BF.7's mutations
As Omicron has evolved, we've seen the emergence of new subvariants better able to escape immunity from vaccination or prior infection. BF.7 is no different.
BF.7 carries a specific mutation, R346T, in the spike protein of SARS-CoV-2 (a protein on the surface of the virus that allows it to attach to and infect our cells). This mutation, which we also see in BF.7's "parent" variant BA.5, has been linked with enhancing the capacity of the virus to escape neutralizing antibodies generated by vaccines or previous infection.
A recent study examined the neutralization of BF.7 in sera (a component of blood that should contain antibodies) from triple-vaccinated healthcare workers, as well as patients infected during the Omicron BA.1 and BA.5 waves of the pandemic. BF.7 was resistant to neutralization, driven partly by the R346T mutation.
BF.7 around the world
BF.7 has been detected in several other countries around the world including India, the U.S., the UK and several European countries such as Belgium, Germany, France and Denmark.
Despite BF.7's immune-evasive characteristics, and worrying signs about its growth in China, the variant seems to be remaining fairly steady elsewhere. For example, in the US it was estimated to account for 5.7% of infections up to Dec. 10, down from 6.6% the week prior.
While the UK Health Security Agency identified BF.7 as one of the most concerning variants in terms of both growth and neutralization data in a technical briefing published in October (it accounted for over 7% of cases at that time), the most recent briefing says BF.7 has been de-escalated due to reduced incidence and low growth rates in the UK.
We don't know exactly why the situation looks different in China. BF.7's high R0 might be due in part to a low level of immunity in the Chinese population from previous infection, and possibly vaccination too. We should, of course, be cautious about the data from China as it's based on reports, not peer-reviewed evidence yet.
An evolving virus
Since the emergence of SARS-CoV-2 three years ago, the virus has continued to evolve, acquiring genetic mutations more rapidly than expected.
The emergence of BF.7 and other new variants is concerning. But vaccination is still the best weapon we have to fight COVID. And the recent approval by the UK drugs regulator of bivalent boosters, which target Omicron alongside the original strain of SARS-CoV-2, is very promising.
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/bf7-new-omicron-coronavirus-variant-covid/
多分、シノバックとかシノファームの場合、mRNAによる薬害は無くとも、抗原原罪による対コロナ免疫の低下がmRNAワクチンよりヤバいのでは?(爆wwwwww
複数の変異種に同時感染とかになったら、武漢株砲のみが対コロナ主力兵器の勇者様方のMPとHP喪失スピードが一気に加速しそうですなあ・・・
まあ一日のコロナ死者が10万人超えてきたら中国はもうダメかもしれんアルね。(爆wwwwwwwww
5 件のコメント:
コロナ死者数を誤魔化すために、台湾か日本かこの際半島にでも戦争ふっかけるアル😰!
無問題アルネ!ダタの風邪アルネ!
ほーておけばいい ぷーさんがなんとかするさw
幾ら90%だったとしても今の日本のフルですがなであっても
5000人くらいじゃヘノカッパでさすがになんともいえん
>10万
以上になって始めてではあるもんねぇ。。
焼く段取りだけはキッチリつけてくれれば
春節で一網打尽計画でGo~なんですけどwwwwwwwwwwwww
多少人口減ったらば
中国共産党も統制し易いのでは(苦
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